Index
The purpose of this document is
to bring a little
understanding to those who are not 'hardened' seamen with years
of exposure to violent storm situations or cyclonic weather.
It is written as a simple introduction to some weather
processes that could affect offshore
voyagers, and it is given here to assist you with a
little mental preparation that could help you when offshore
and bad weather is experienced.
I
have spent many years fishing at sea in the equatorial regions
between the equator and 5 degrees South on the East coast of
Africa, and thus have never been exposed to cyclonic conditions
that mainly occur in higher latitudes than 5 degrees. (5 to 30
degrees north or south of the equator)
The information that follows is purely
my own deduction as I sit in seclusion far from the sea drawing
upon my 67 years of various experiences. It varies in some aspects of what has been
written by others, and thus it is necessary for you to look
deeply at what is said so that you understand the situation
clearly, for there could be terrifying and disastrous
consequences for the unwary.
My intent is to give a clear and
concise 'pre-meditated' course of action for any sea voyager to take if
they find themselves unfortunate enough to encounter a cyclone
that 'catches' them unawares. It is very easy to make decisions
when one is on secure ground, but once the sea becomes rough and
decisions need to be made quickly it can become quite confusing
to some who become 'mentally' disturbed by indecisive thoughts
that lead to irrational decisions being made.
Much is written on cyclones that gives
readers the 'impression' that certain 'sectors' or semicircles
are navigable, and I believe that this is
false teaching, as in my opinion
one needs to understand that whatever 'sector' one may 'enter'
into is very dangerous, and the nearer one is driven by
wind and waves towards the centre, the greater the
windy 'tempest' and wave heights and greater the
danger of injury, drowning and loss of vessel.
The only 'reason' why one 'quadrant'
becomes more dangerous than others is when the cyclone is
moving over the sea surface, thus any vessel that is 'ahead' of
the Cyclone is one that is on a 'quicker' collision course with
the 'eye,' and the time for avoidance is lessened and all
the dangers increase dramatically.
In the foreknowledge that a cyclone
can change direction at any time and even halt and 'reverse'
backwards, one will also then realise that a 'quadrant' or
'semicircle' with an apparent less danger may suddenly
become a very dangerous one. Intensifying wind speed and
lowering barometric pressure may be an indication of this.
I trust that the information and
images provided will give the reader a little 'comfort' in the
knowledge that they will be more prepared for an
eventuality that may never arise. For those of you that are
'beginner' ocean voyagers it would be practical to obtain a copy
of the "Times Atlas and encyclopaedia of
the sea" published by 'Times books of London,' that gives
a lot of pertinent information on waves and ocean currents and
danger zones at the different times of the year.
page 2
Weather Pressure systems
In a
High pressure system the
air is moving outwards from its centre, and it flows
towards any Low pressure
system situated outside its perimeter.
The air flow at the
centre is zero speed and calm weather prevails and the
'standard'
barometric 1013 mb. It goes 'high'
when it rises above the standard pressure and may rise to 1030
or more mb.
The air mass of a
High pressure system South of the
Equator revolves in an anti-clockwise direction, and in the
northern hemisphere it revolves in a clockwise direction.
Between the High
and the Low systems there is a 'ridge' of faster moving air
formed as one system pushes up against the other, and this has
the effect of accelerating the wind speed of the air mass
between the High and Low systems.
This 'frontal'
ridge of air can be the cause of very rough weather but it is
not 'cyclonic' in that it is not moving in a circular motion as
is the cyclone characteristic.
Some vessels use
this fast moving wind in order to make good speed in their
journey, however if it is blowing from the direction in which
one seeks to travel then it is a very uncomfortable hindrance,
and it may be safer to not try and 'bash' ones way
through it but to simply make use of the Para-anchor that will
hold you steady as the front passes by and you do not 'lose
ground.'
In a
Low pressure system that air
is flowing inwards towards its centre, and as it moves
closer to its 'vortex' the wind speed accelerates.
Prior to becoming a
tropical Cyclone there are three indicators as to the category
of a Low.
| 1 - Low pressure area |
less than 17 kts (30 kph) |
| 2 - Depression |
17 to 27 kts (30 to 50 kph) |
| 3 - Deep depression |
28 to 33 kts (50 to 60 kph) |
Once the wind speed increases above 35 kts then the revolving
mass begins to form into a Category 1 Cyclone with winds in the
order of 35 to 50 kts.
As time passes the barometric
pressure drops lower and the winds increase their speed. It may
take up to 3 days or more for a ''Depression' to deepen and
become a Cyclone.
In a large Cyclone
there may be a
barometric drop to 920 mb or less,
and the lower it drops is an indication of the pressure
difference between the High and the Low, and the lower the
mb reading the greater the pressure
difference and faster the wind speed becomes.
The air mass is
rising upwards from the centre of the vortex like an invisible
tornado, and the circular wave movement drives floating objects
towards its centre, and the nearer the
centre the higher the wind speed and more dangerous the waves.
Even though a
'calm' of negligible wind is experienced by those on land as the
centre of the 'eye' of the cyclone passes overhead, on the ocean this calm 'core'
is a deadly mass of very confused and breaking waves that are
approaching the vessel from any direction and thus are
extremely dangerous.
In severe cyclonic storms, wind speeds of 30 kts can occur
even at a distance of 400 nm from the storm centre. The
gales give rise to a confused sea with surface waves as high as
60' and swells that travel a thousand miles. This is accompanied
by torrential rains, and the cyclone can move as much as 200 to
300 nm a day.
South of the Equator
the cyclone air mass revolves in a clockwise direction.
North of the Equator the cyclone air mass revolves in an anti-clockwise direction.
page 3
Baric wind Law
The
Baric Wind Law is an
indicator that assists one in determining in what direction a
cyclone 'core' is situated in relation to the vessel at sea.
This may seem unnecessary today when
there are satellite images and radio weather updates, but not all
ocean travellers have these aids,
and thus the basic understanding of and use of a
barometer and the
Baric Law can give you
added assurance when offshore.
For only when you
know that you are in the 'safe' and trailing or 'rear' quadrants
are you able to safely deploy your sea anchor to hold you
steady. For if you are in the 'frontal' quadrant and you deploy
the Para-anchor then you could become a 'sitting duck' that is
anchored directly in the path of the approaching cyclone and you
will most likely meet your maker.
This document is to
give you an idea as to how to check your position in relation to
the cyclone as well as to its direction, and in which direction
your vessel needs to travel to get away from the path of the
cyclone.
If you have a radio
or other land or satellite communication then you are in the
fortunate position of being able to hear that a cyclone is or
has formed and where it is situated and what its direction of
movement is. Thus you can 'plot' your direction of travel to
move out of its path.
The
Baric Wind Law states
that <
If one stands in the northern hemisphere
with one's back to the wind, low pressure is on one's left and
high pressure on one's right. - - - If one stands in the
southern hemisphere with one's back to the wind, low pressure is
on one's right and high pressure on one's left.
>
One of the first factors to consider
is the position of your vessel in relation to the
equator when you become aware of the deepening Low. For if
the Low is between you and the equator and it becomes a
cyclone, as it gathers strength it will be moving Southwest
towards you in the southern hemisphere and Northwest towards you
in the northern hemisphere.
As Cyclones revolve in opposite
directions in the north and south hemispheres it is best to only
study the one aspect relevant to you in the following
pages 4, 5 and 6,7 in any detail, this will ensure that you do not
remember the information pertaining to the wrong
hemisphere in which you are voyaging in.
page 4
~ The southern hemisphere Cyclone
~
South of the equator
The
tropical revolving storm is a very Low pressure
system (L) known as a "Cyclone" and by other names.
In the southern hemisphere
(South of the equator) it usually occurs during the months of
November to May. In this hemisphere it revolves in a
clockwise direction.
It forms over
the sea between 5 to 20 degrees south of the equatorial
belt and may commence as a stationary revolving Low pressure
system before it becomes a category
1 Cyclone or greater and begins to move over the
water.
Once it
begins to move, the
direction is generally
West or WSW approximate headings of 250 to 270 degree - after
some days it may ' tend' to alter direction more to the South in
a SW to South direction.
The equator is to the North - here

South of the Equator when a vessel
is facing into the wind the cyclone lies to the 'left' (Port
side) abaft the beam at approx 135 degree to the vessel
direction.
E-C vessel position means : Cyclone to the East,
head 315 degrees
S-C vessel position means : Cyclone to the South, head 025
degrees
W-C vessel position means : Cyclone to the West, head 135
degrees
N-C vessel position means : Cyclone to the North (Two options
see below)
Important note: If your
vessel is somewhere in the above image within the Cyclonic wind
zone influence on any vector from the centre and you face
a compass into the wind and waves and take a 'reading' of the
compass bearing and, - - - then an hour or more later you do the
same thing then, - - -
You will know whether you are being drawn closer to its
centre or whether you are moving further away because,
- - - the wind and waves are curving inwards towards the
Cyclone centre and the wind and waves are altering their
magnetic heading.
This is because the closer
you get to the 'eye' of the Cyclone the
greater becomes the magnetic bearing and, - - -
the further away from the centre
you travel the less becomes
the magnetic bearing. This 'fact' is taking place all the way
from the outer fringes and up to the eye itself.
Example - If you enter the outer edge of the mass at N-C with
the cyclone to the north of you the wind direction would be from
the ESE at approx 120 degrees. If you were 'running' with the
waves or being dragged around by them for a few hours you would
be situated somewhere between N-C and E-C, and if you took a
bearing into the wind and waves it could be 140 degrees,
an increase in the magnetic bearing that shows you are in
greater danger. This only applies to vessels in the
southern hemisphere.
It also follows that if you were running with wind and waves
towards the 'eye' that your compass heading would be
increasing all the way. In
fact if you were drawn into its eye your vessel would have
travelled a complete circle or more and gone through the entire
360 degrees of the compass before reaching the centre of the
cyclone. (Veering to 'Starboard' all the way with a lowering
barometric pressure.)
It also follows that if any any stage you find that the wind
direction is from a 'lesser'
magnetic compass bearing, then you are moving
away from the eye or, the cyclone
is moving away from you. This
paragraph only applies to vessels in the
southern hemisphere.
page 5
Factors to consider
especially if there is no radio
contact to ascertain position of Cyclone.
This page pertains
only to Cyclones in the southern hemisphere.
Cyclone to
the West of you W-C
If you
are in the southern hemisphere and you notice the cloud to the West
of you and the wind and waves coming from the North, then you
would be wise to begin to move East (Compass heading 090 degrees until you are certain that the cyclone
'threat' or danger has abated.)
Cyclone to
the East of you E-C
If you
are in the southern hemisphere
and you notice the cloud to the East
of you and the wind and waves coming from the South, then you
would be wise to begin to move Northwest. (Compass heading 315
degrees until you are certain that the cyclone 'threat' or
danger has abated and you keep monitoring its direction.)
Cyclone to
the South of you S-C
If you
are in the southern hemisphere and you notice the cloud to the South
of you and the wind and waves coming from the Southwest,
then if you are between the equator and Latitude 5 degrees South
you may continue in any direction between 270 and 090 degrees,
only move South of that line once
the cyclone has moved away and the barometric pressure is rising.
If you are between Latitude 5 degrees
South to 20 degrees South and you notice the cloud to the
South of you and the wind and
waves coming from the West to Southwest, then you should move
in a North to Northeast direction until the barometer is either not
falling or is rising steadily. (Compass heading 025 degrees
until you are certain that the cyclone 'threat' or danger has
abated.)
Cyclone to
the North of you N-C
If you
are in the southern hemisphere
and you notice the cloud to the North
of you and the wind and waves coming from the Northeast to East, then you
would be wise to begin to move SE. (Compass heading 135 degrees until you are certain that the cyclone 'threat'
or danger has abated. Refer to the 'Note -
1' at page end)
The extreme
danger of this quadrant is that not only is the wind
and wave action driving you in its direction, but the eye is
also moving towards you over the sea and the combined
speed of these two 'activities' lessens the time for
evasion and the danger is quadrupled for slow moving vessels.
If you
are in the southern hemisphere
halfway between N-C and E-C
and you notice the cloud to the
Northeast of you (Most dangerous
position) and the wind and waves coming from the East to
Southeast, then you would be wise to consider moving West
northwest as
you run with the wind on your 'Port' bow crossing the path of the Cyclone and swing
around to the North of the Cyclone path.
(Compass heading 280 degrees or more and increasing as you swing
around to the North until you are certain that the
cyclone 'threat' or danger has abated.)
In the
southern hemisphere swinging across the path of the
Cyclone as you are driven northwards may also be beneficial if
it is 'tending' to change direction to the South.
Note - 1
: The Compass heading 090 to 110 degrees given above is
the 'ideal' general one for when wind and waves permit, but
depending on your position reference to your distance from the
Cyclone centre and your vessel 'power,' the existing wind and
wave influence may prohibit the direction given. In this case
you have 2 options.
1 - To bear off to the Starboard
(right) keeping the wind and waves on your Port bow as close as
possible as you head away from the Cyclone centre that will be
behind you on your Starboard (right) rear quarter. If your
vessel is slow you may find that you are still losing ground and
forced towards the eye. (And it is moving in your general
direction) This you will know if the barometric pressure keeps
dropping and the situation worsens. In this case you have option
2 left.
2 - In this case you need to hold your
ground and halt your movement towards the eye. This you do by
deploying your 'Para' anchor. * As
long as you are not directly in the path of the Cyclone you will
be held steady facing wind and waves and after a time the wind
and waves will abate.
Note:
Para anchor * - The Para anchor can
be deployed at any time that you feel the vessel is in danger of
being overwhelmed by rough seas or being driven relentlessly
towards the eye and also, it can be deployed if you believe that
you are outside the path of the Cyclone and you wish to sit
safely at anchor until its fury depletes.
This decision is yours and must be
considered with the understanding that once deployed, it will
become irretrievable until the winds have dropped and that you
will be a 'sitting duck' if the Cyclone changes course towards
you. (Sea conditions may also be a prime factor)
Vessels situated to the rear of the
moving 'eye' are equally 'battered' by wind and wave action but
the mass of the Cyclone is moving away from their position when
using a Para and, - - - one needs to understand that there is
never any 'guarantee' that a slow moving vessel will escape if
it is 'trapped' by high winds and dangerous seas as many an
'ancestral' spirit would testify.
page
6
~ The northern hemisphere Cyclone
~
North of the equator
The
tropical revolving storm is a very Low pressure
system (L) known as a : "cyclone or
hurricane or typhoon" and by other names.
In the northern hemisphere
(North of the equator) it usually occurs during the months of
May to November. In this hemisphere it revolves in an
anti-clockwise direction.
It forms over
the sea between 5 to 20 degrees north of the equatorial
belt and may commence as a stationary revolving Low pressure
system before it becomes a category
1 Cyclone or greater and begins to move over the
water.
Once it
begins to move, the
direction is generally
West or WNW approximate headings of 270 to 290 degree - after
some days it may ' tend' to alter direction more to the North in
a NW to North direction.

The equator is to the South - here
North of the Equator when vessel
is facing into the wind the cyclone lies to the 'right'
(Starboard side) abaft the beam at approx 135 degree to the
vessel direction.
E-C vessel position means : Cyclone to the East,
head 225 degrees
S-C vessel position means : Cyclone to the South
W-C vessel position means : Cyclone to the West, head 090
degrees
N-C vessel position means : Cyclone to the North, head 155 degrees
Important note: If your
vessel is somewhere in the above image within the Cyclonic wind
zone influence on any vector from the centre and you face
a compass into the wind and waves and take a 'reading' of the
compass bearing and, - - - then an hour or more later you do the
same thing then, - - -
You will know whether you are being drawn closer to its
centre or whether you are moving further away because,
- - the wind and waves are curving inwards towards the Cyclone
centre and the wind and waves are altering their magnetic
heading.
This is because the closer
you get to the 'eye' of the Cyclone the
lesser
becomes the magnetic bearing and, - - - the further
away from the centre you travel the
greater becomes the magnetic
bearing. This 'fact' is taking place all the way from the outer
fringes and up to the eye itself.
Example - If you enter the outer edge of the mass at N-C with
the cyclone to the north of you the wind direction would be from
the SW at approx 240 degrees. If you were 'running' with the
waves or being dragged around by them for a few hours you would
be situated somewhere between N-C and W-C, and if you took a
bearing into the wind and waves it could be 220 degrees,
an decrease in the magnetic bearing that shows you are in
greater danger. This only applies to vessels in the
northern hemisphere.
It also follows that if you were running with wind and waves
towards the 'eye' that your compass heading would be
decreasing all the way. In
fact if you were drawn into its eye your vessel would have
travelled a complete circle or more and gone through the entire
360 degrees of the compass before reaching the centre of the
cyclone. (Backing to 'Port' all the way with a lowering
barometric pressure.)
It also follows that if at any stage you find that the wind
direction is from a 'greater'
magnetic compass bearing, then you are moving
away from the eye or, the cyclone is
moving away from you. This paragraph only applies to vessels in the
northern hemisphere.
page 7
Factors to consider
especially if there is no radio
contact to ascertain position of Cyclone.
This page pertains
only to Cyclones in the northern hemisphere.
Cyclone to
the West of you W-C
If you
are in the northern hemisphere and you notice the cloud to the West
of you and the wind and waves coming from the South, then you
would be wise to begin to move East. (Compass
heading 090 degrees until you are certain that the
cyclone 'threat' or danger has abated.)
Cyclone to
the East of you E-C
If you
are in the northern hemisphere
and you notice the cloud to the East
of you and the wind and waves coming from the North, then you
would be wise to begin to move Southwest. (Compass heading
225
degrees until you are certain that the cyclone 'threat' or
danger has abated and you keep monitoring its direction.)
Cyclone to
the North of you N-C
If you
are in the northern hemisphere
and you notice the cloud to the North
of you and the wind and waves coming from the Northwest, then if
you are between the equator and Latitude 5 degrees North you may
continue in any direction between 090 to 270 degrees, only move North
of that line once
the cyclone has moved away and the barometric pressure is rising.
If you are between Latitude 5 degrees
North to 20 degrees North and you notice the cloud to the
North of you and the wind and
waves coming from the North to Northwest, then you should move in a
South to Southeast direction until the barometer is either not
falling or is rising steadily. (Compass heading 155 degrees
until you are certain that the cyclone 'threat' or danger has
abated.)
Cyclone to
the South of you S-C
If you
are in the northern hemisphere
and you notice the cloud to the South
of you and the wind and waves coming from Southeast to East, then you
would be wise to begin to move ENE to East. (Compass heading 070
to 090 degrees until you are certain that the cyclone 'threat'
or danger has abated. Refer to the 'Note -
1' at page end)
The extreme
danger of this quadrant is that not only is the wind
and wave action driving you in its direction, but the eye is
also moving towards you over the sea and the combined
speed of these two 'activities' lessens the time for
evasion and the danger is quadrupled for slow moving vessels.
If you
are in the northern hemisphere
halfway between S-C and E-C
and you notice the cloud to the
Southeast of you (Most dangerous
position) and the wind and waves coming from East to
Northeast, then you would be wise to consider moving
South southwest as you run
with the wind on your 'Starboard' bow crossing the path of the Cyclone and swing around
to the South of the Cyclone path. (Compass
heading 315 degrees or less and decreasing as you swing around to
the South until you are certain that the cyclone
'threat' or danger has abated.)
In the
northern hemisphere swinging across the path of the
Cyclone as you are driven southwards may also be beneficial if
it is 'tending' to change direction to the North.
Note - 1
: The Compass heading 070 to 90 degrees given above is
the 'ideal' general one for when wind and waves permit, but
depending on your position reference to your distance from the
Cyclone centre and your vessel 'power,' the existing wind and
wave influence may prohibit the direction given. In this case
you have 2 options.
1 - To bear off to the Port (left)
keeping the wind and waves on your starboard bow as close as
possible as you head away from the Cyclone centre that will be
behind you on your Port (left) rear quarter. If your vessel is
slow you may find that you are still losing ground and forced
towards the eye. (And it is moving in your general
direction) This you will know if the barometric pressure keeps
dropping and the situation worsens. In this case you have option
2 left.
2 - In this case you need to hold your
ground and halt your movement towards the eye. This you do by
deploying your 'Para' anchor. * As
long as you are not directly in the path of the Cyclone you will
be held steady facing wind and waves and after a time the wind
and waves will abate.
Note:
Para anchor * - The Para anchor can
be deployed at any time that you feel the vessel is in danger of
being overwhelmed by rough seas or being driven relentlessly
towards the eye and also, it can be deployed if you believe that
you are outside the path of the Cyclone and you wish to sit
safely at anchor until its fury depletes.
This decision is yours and must be
considered with the understanding that once deployed, it will
become irretrievable until the winds have dropped and that you
will be a 'sitting duck' if the Cyclone changes course towards
you. (Sea conditions may also be a prime factor)
Vessels situated to the rear of the
moving 'eye' are equally 'battered' by wind and wave action but
the mass of the Cyclone is moving away from their position when
using a Para and, - - - one needs to understand that there is
never any 'guarantee' that a slow moving vessel or ANY vessel will escape if
it is 'trapped' by high winds and dangerous seas as many an
'ancestral' spirit would testify.
The power and fury of the wind and sea in
a big Cyclone will overpower 'all comers' that venture into its
'fold,' and thrust them towards
its vortex more easily than the current near the 'rim' of the
'Victoria' falls would drag a canoeist inexorably over the brink
and into the 'abyss' of destruction if they venture too near.
Note: Vessels that travel at less
than 10 kts are at far greater 'risk' than those with speed
range of 12 to 20 kts that can more easily 'outrun' a Cyclone.
page 8
~ Cyclone
categories ~
Cyclone categories and approximate
related wind speeds to be encountered
|
Category 1
Cyclone - strongest winds are GALES
with gusts to 125 km/h.
These winds correspond to Beaufort 8 and 9 (Gales and strong
gales 40 - 50 kts).
Category 2
Cyclone - strongest winds are
DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts of 125 -170
km/h.
These winds correspond to Beaufort 10 and 11 (Storm and violent
storm 55 - 65 kts).
Category 3
Cyclone - strongest winds are VERY
DESTRUCTIVE with gusts of 170 - 225
km/h.
These winds correspond to the highest category on the Beaufort
scale, Beaufort 12 (Hurricane over 65 kts).
Category 4
Cyclone - winds over 75 kts
(150 km/h) with gusts of 225 - 280
km/h.
Category 5
Cyclone - winds over 90 kts
(180 km/h) with gusts to
350 km/h. |
The Central
pacific hurricane centre gives tables with higher wind speeds
listed in each category. The classifications are intended
primarily for use in gauging the likely damage and flooding a
hurricane will cause upon landfall. Either way you can expect
high seas with a water table surge of up to 5 metres or more.
Saffir-Simpson Cyclone Scale
-
Tropical Storm - winds 39-73
mph (34-63 kt)
-
Category 1 - winds 74-95 mph
(64-82 kt)
-
Category 2 - winds 96-110 mph
(83-95 kt)
-
Category 3 - winds 111-130 mph
(96-113 kt)
-
Category 4 - winds 131-155 mph
(114-135 kt)
-
Category 5 - winds 156 mph and
up (135+ kt)
Note:
Cyclones generally tend to travel in a westerly direction but are
known to alter course in any direction. The speed over the
ground of the entire 'system' is usually in the order of 3 to 12
kts. Thus it has the capacity to 'outrun' and destroy slow
vessels that have entered into dangerous wind and sea conditions and
are unfortunate enough to be in its path or forced around
towards and into its 'eye' vortex.
Irrespective of which '
quarter' or sector of the cyclone you find yourself you are in
extreme danger, for the wind tends to 'drive' your vessel
towards the 'eye' and as you get nearer, - - -
The fury of the
wind and waves become terrifying and wave heights can exceed a
height of 60
feet, and the winds increase their speed and waves become more
destructive and, - - -
In the center of the revolving storm
there is a mass of very confused waves that erupt from every
side and they will probably overwhelm your vessel if you or your
vessel have been 'lucky' enough to
have survived that far. You cannot 'run' with the wind and waves
and be safe in a Cyclone, as the wind and waves all lead
to its destructive centre.
The mass of the cyclone may extend to
an approximate diameter of 100 to 600 nm across, and its circular eye may be
anything from 5 to 40 nm wide. The eye is
characterised by light winds and clear skies and very turbulent
'chaotic' waves.
The barometric pressure at the 'edge'
may be 1010 mb, and in the eye it
may be as low as 890 mb or less. Thus if
the total cyclone width is 250 nm with an approximate distance
of 120 nm from outer edge to 'eye,' the drop in barometric
pressure of approximately 60 mb
that is graded faster at the eye is still an 'average' decrease
of 1 mb every 2 nm closer to the
eye you get.
Halving this
barometric 'drop' when on the outer edge to 1
mb every 4 nm still gives one a
drop in pressure of 2 mb in 8 nm.
Any amount of drop in pressure or increase in pressure is a good
indicator as to whether you are losing ground, gaining ground,
or stationary in relation to the cyclone.
Remember, even if you and it are both
stationary in relation to each other and the cyclone starts
increasing its size, its central pressure is dropping and so is
the pressure around you. This would be more 'common' when it is
newly forming and you are already in the middle of
it the 'Low.'
In this case where there is no wind
and no swell yet formed but a 'fast' lowering of pressure then,
- - - if you are North of the
equator head towards the Southeast. If you are
South of the Equator head Northeast
so as to move away from the developing 'core' of the 'Low.'
If you do not have
a radio and weather report, then you are reliant of your barometer
and other 'signs' to
warn you of the 'arrival' of a Low pressure system. Not every
'Low' pressure system develops into a Cyclone, however in the
summer months one needs to be alert.
In the winter months the high latitudes of 35 to 60 degrees
can develop
very large Low pressure systems that are accompanied by gale
force conditions of 40 kts and higher, if you are at the leading
edge of one of these in the southern ocean then you can be
forced southwards, and by using a Para anchor you can stay
stationary until its central Low has passed your position of
Longitude and the trailing edge helps you East or North. The
opposite effect takes place in the northern hemisphere.
page 9
~ Wind and wave graph ~
This graph is a
'time' indicator that shows that waves grow bigger over time.
Thus it is important to take evasive action and vacate the Low
pressure area as soon as possible if you are travelling through
tropical waters during the Cyclone season and become aware that
one is forming.
Example; 90 kts wind
raises wave to 14 feet height in 7 hours, and this increases to
25' after 20 hours, and by 100 hours they have grown to 50.' As
you can see, if you enter a category 3 - 5 cyclone then you
survival chance becomes very slim.

page 10
~ Atmospheric Pressure & the
Barometer ~
The "normal" pressure, that at sea level
is represented in various ways.
mm Hg (mercury at 0OC) = 760.0
inches Hg = 29.921
PSI lb/square inch = 14.696
ATM atmospheres = 1
Bars = 1.01325
Millibars (mb) = 1013.25
Hectopascals (hPa) = 1013.25
Barometers record the rise or fall in the atmospheric pressure,
thus they are good indicators as to the present pressure that
indicates whether one is within a falling or rising pressure air
mass. the barometric range is usually between 800 mb (hPa) to
1050 mb (hPa.)
page 11
~ Big wave images ~

The following is a written extract
from another source.
Enormous waves that sweep the ocean are
traditionally called rogue waves, implying
that they have a kind of freakish rarity.
Over the decades, skeptical oceanographers
have doubted their existence and tended to
lump them together with sightings of
mermaids and sea monsters. But scientists
are now finding that these giants of the sea
are far more common and destructive than
once imagined, prompting a rush of new
studies and research projects. The goals are
to better tally them, understand why they
form, explore the possibility of forecasts,
and learn how to better protect ships, oil
platforms and people.
One way that rogue waves apparently form
is when the strong currents meet winds and
waves moving in the opposite direction, he
said. The currents focus and concentrate
sets of waves, shortening the distance
between them and sending individual peaks
higher. “That,” Dr. Fornberg said in an
interview, “makes for hot spots in a fairly
predictable area.”
A particularly threatening spot turned
out to be where big oil tankers coming from
the Middle East ride the Agulhas current
around South Africa. There, the
westward-flowing current meets prevailing
easterly winds, at times disastrously.
“Three or four tankers a year there get
badly damaged,” Dr. Fornberg said. “That’s
one of the few places in the world where the
phenomena is regular.”
“With a big storm, you get lots of big
waves,” he added. “You have regular waves
and then one or two giants. Then it’s back
to regular again.”
The stakes are high. In the past two
decades, freak waves are suspected of
sinking dozens of big ships and taking
hundreds of lives. The upshot is that the
scientists feel a sense of urgency about the
work and growing awe at their subjects.
In size and reach these waves are quite
different from earthquake-induced tsunamis,
which form low, almost invisible mounds at
sea before gaining height while crashing
ashore. Rogue waves seldom, if ever, prowl
close to land.
“We know these big waves cannot get into
shallow water,” said David W. Wang of the
Naval Research Laboratory, the science arm
of the Navy and Marine Corps. “That’s a
physical limitation.”
By one definition, the titans of the sea
rise to heights of at least 25 meters, or 82
feet, about the size of an eight-story
building. Scientists have calculated their
theoretical maximum at 198 feet — higher
than the Statue of Liberty or the Capitol
rotunda in Washington. So far, however, they
have documented nothing that big. Large
rogues seem to average around 100 feet.
Most waves, big and small alike, form
when the wind blows across open water. The
wind’s force, duration and sweep determine
the size of the swells, with big storms
building their height. Waves up to 30 or
even 50 feet are considered unexceptional
(though terrifying to people in even fairly
large boats). As waves gain energy from the
wind, they become steeper and the crests can
break into whitecaps.
The trough preceding a rogue wave can be
quite deep, what nautical lore calls a “hole
in the sea.” For anyone on a ship, it is a
roller coaster plunge that can be
disastrous.
Over the centuries, many accounts have
told of monster waves that battered and sank
ships. In 1933 in the North Pacific, the
Navy oiler Ramapo encountered a huge wave.
The crew, calm enough to triangulate from
the ship’s superstructure, estimated its
height at 112 feet.
In 1966, the Italian cruise ship
Michelangelo was steaming toward New York
when a giant wave tore a hole in its
superstructure, smashed heavy glass 80 feet
above the waterline, and killed a crewman
and two passengers. In 1978, the München, a
German barge carrier, sank in the Atlantic.
Surviving bits of twisted wreckage suggested
that it surrendered to a wave of great
force.
Despite such accounts, many
oceanographers were skeptical. The human
imagination tended to embellish, they said.
That began to change on New Year’s Day in
1995, when a rock-steady oil platform in the
North Sea produced what was considered the
first hard evidence of a rogue wave. The
platform bore a laser designed to measure
wave height.
During a furious storm, it registered an
84-foot giant.
Then, in February 2000, a British
oceanographic research vessel fighting its
way through a gale west of Scotland measured
titans of up to 95 feet, “the largest waves
ever recorded by scientific instruments,”
seven researchers wrote in the journal
Geophysical Research Letters.
It quickly became apparent that the big
waves formed with some regularity in regions
swept by powerful currents: the Agulhas off
South Africa, the Kuroshio off Japan, and
the Gulf Stream off the eastern United
States, where the Norwegian Dawn got into
trouble off Georgia. The Gulf Stream also
flows through the Bermuda Triangle, famous
for allegedly devouring large numbers of
ships.
A suspected culprit, in addition to
wind-current interactions, is the
amplification that occurs when disparate
trains of waves (perhaps emanating from
different storms) come together. Such
intersections are seen as sometimes
canceling out waves, and other times making
them higher and steeper.
Another birth ground is seen as choppy
seas where several waves moving
independently merge by chance. But
scientists say a giant of that sort would
live for no more than a few seconds or
minutes, whereas some are suspected of
lasting for hours and traveling long
distances.
As for forecasts, oceanographers are
focusing on the interplay of exceptionally
strong winds and currents, especially in the
Agulhas off South Africa.
|
These pictures given
below are
not 'cyclone' related as I simply found them on line, but they
do give one and idea as to the intense power of wind driven
waves, and they also give you an indication of survivability or
otherwise. What you also need to realise is that even though you
may be in a strong vessel, - - - if it is thrown around or
knocked down then you could suffer severe injury that would
hasten your demise.
If you are in a small
vessel it is important to ensure that you deploy a Para anchor
prior to yourself or your vessel becoming endangered. Its
deployment is not a guarantee of survival, but it is so if the
conditions permit survival. In the past ten years 200
tankers and super tankers have been 'lost' due to wave action as have a
multitude of smaller craft.
The major 'factor'
that kills air pilots is instability in their mind, for their thoughts
drive them into attempting to fly to a destination when the
weather is less than their capacity to fly. Once airborne and
conditions worsen, instead of turning back their thoughts keep
'driving' them on into situations where they become lost or
disorientated and they fly into mountains or they enter a
'spiral' dive into oblivion.
The danger on the sea
is far greater, because one is travelling much slower and full
evasive action may take many hours of weariness and danger. Be aware of the fact that
every person has a different capacity to handle difficult
situations.
The the first thing you need to do is to educate
yourself fully on all aspects of your intended journey on the
sea in the foreknowledge that your life is in your own hands,
(and God's) so once you have done your best then leave
the rest to God and calmly accept any adverse
eventuality.




Giant 'rogue' wave rearing up -
Bay of Biscay
|
~
Cyclone 'water table' danger ~
I
write these few words for those of you that are
unaware of the reasons for the possibility of
flooding due to Cyclone influence. The barometric
pressure (weight of air mass) at the 'core'
centre of any Cyclone is far less than the
barometric pressure outside the Cyclone.
It follows that as the air pressure upon the sea is
less in the 'eye,' that the entire 'mass' of water
in the 'eye' area is in fact 'lifted' up above the normal
sea level due to the 'greater' atmospheric pressure on
the 'eye' from the sea
surrounding the Cyclone.
If the eye of the 'storm' was 20
nautical miles in diameter then the water table
within this 20 nm area would in fact be 3 to 12
metres
higher than normal sea level, this factor
dependant upon the barometric pressure of the core.
If the storm 'eye' approaches the land at high
tide, then you can see how easily any low lying
areas would suddenly be flooded by the
'extraordinary' rising of the sea level as well as being
pounding by huge waves. If the storm travels
along a coastline then the water table rises and
falls along the entire section and a large area can
be destroyed.
If you live on the coast and are not aware of this
fact, then you need to make provision for that
possibility, and make sure that you move well away
from the shore long before the 'eye' of the Cyclone
reaches the coast if it is in your vicinity.
In very low lying areas
such as the Bay of Bengal area, the water table has
destroyed life and homes up to 30 km inland. |